Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.011494 0.013871 0.016830 0.020865 0.026358 0.033786 0.044984
2025-05-25 0.008154 0.010658 0.014164 0.019669 0.028598 0.043591 0.073666
2025-06-01 0.006495 0.008908 0.012544 0.018811 0.030328 0.053249 0.112684
2025-06-08 0.005685 0.008118 0.012019 0.019330 0.034455 0.070327 0.196499
2025-06-15 0.004975 0.007312 0.011234 0.019061 0.036860 0.085962 0.320426
2025-06-22 0.004304 0.006446 0.010150 0.017865 0.036612 0.094549 0.454828
2025-06-29 0.003942 0.006036 0.009789 0.018022 0.039784 0.118167 0.860422
2025-07-06 0.003710 0.005811 0.009720 0.018786 0.045104 0.159222 2.248072
2025-07-13 0.003583 0.005751 0.009952 0.020326 0.053975 0.240078 13.611637
2025-07-20 0.003398 0.005557 0.009873 0.021071 0.060902 0.337173 484.617378
2025-07-27 0.003187 0.005285 0.009580 0.021163 0.065552 0.442798 NaN
2025-08-03 0.003025 0.005089 0.009420 0.021587 0.072205 0.624125 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002786 0.004739 0.008913 0.021013 0.074768 0.807012 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002533 0.004336 0.008236 0.019762 0.073141 0.921746 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002332 0.004022 0.007722 0.018896 0.073158 1.116891 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002228 0.003896 0.007636 0.019418 0.082358 1.969400 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002097 0.003697 0.007344 0.019148 0.086380 2.971482 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001936 0.003423 0.006828 0.017944 0.082586 3.240640 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001851 0.003305 0.006692 0.018102 0.089773 6.214877 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001798 0.003252 0.006713 0.018871 0.103840 21.882429 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001776 0.003263 0.006907 0.020420 0.129976 1197.781205 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001725 0.003205 0.006905 0.021170 0.150680 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.001658 0.003102 0.006764 0.021263 0.164026 NaN NaN